Fertility Intentions in Canada: Change or No Change?
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Référence bibliographique [10042]
Edmonston, Barry, Lee, Sharon M. et Zheng, Wu. 2010. «Fertility Intentions in Canada: Change or No Change? ». Canadian Studies in Population, vol. 37, no 3/4, p. 297-337.
Intentions : «This paper describes trends in fertility intentions in Canada […]. We have two objectives. First, we describe trends in fertility intentions for the 1990 to 2006 period and the relationship of various factors such as age and education with fertility intentions. Second, we examine the role of changes in population composition and changes in the effects of selected factors, such as education, employment and family structure, on trends in fertility intentions during the 1990 to 2006 period.» (p. 298)
2. Méthode
Échantillon/Matériau : This study is «[…] based on an analysis of data from four national household surveys -General Social Surveys in 1990, 1995, 2001, and 2006.» (p. 297)
Instruments : Sondages
Type de traitement des données : Analyse statistique
3. Résumé
According to the authors, «[t]he study finds that the fertility intentions of Canadian women have been relatively stable for the past 16 years, moving within a narrow range of 2.11 to 2.29 children. Modest decreases due to changes in population composition and not changes in the relationship between various explanatory variables and intended fertility have largely been responsible for the modest overall decrease of 0.08 children in intended fertility between 1990 and 2006.» (p. 297) Note : Les facteurs suivants sont également analysés pour comprendre le phénomène de la fertilité : la grandeur et la structure famille ainsi que la conciliation travail-famille. Aussi, les auteurs présentent les données sous forme de comparaisons interprovinciales.