New Estimates of Aboriginal Fertility, 1966-1971 to 1996-2001

New Estimates of Aboriginal Fertility, 1966-1971 to 1996-2001

New Estimates of Aboriginal Fertility, 1966-1971 to 1996-2001

New Estimates of Aboriginal Fertility, 1966-1971 to 1996-2001s

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Référence bibliographique [4055]

Ram, Bali. 2004. «New Estimates of Aboriginal Fertility, 1966-1971 to 1996-2001 ». Canadian Studies in Population, vol. 31, no 2, p. 179-196

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Fiche synthèse

1. Objectifs


Intentions :
« The major focus of the paper is on the trends of total fertility rate and the convergence of age patterns between various subgroups over the past 30 years. » (p. 180)

2. Méthode


Échantillon :
« Fertility estimates for this paper are derived from the number of children in families, as reported in various censuses of Canada. » (p. 182)

Type de traitement des données :
Analyse statistique

3. Résumé


« Using census data on children in families, this paper estimates various fertility measures for the total aboriginal population and four specific groups, North American Indians, Registered Indians, Metis, and Inuit. The ’own-children’ procedure is used for deriving the number of births by the age of the mother during specific years preceding the census. » (résumé original du document, p. 179) In conclusion, « [...] in light [of the trends that are discussed], it is reasonable to speculate that Aboriginal fertility will keep on declining in the near future. There are basically two reasons for this. First, fertility convergence between the Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal populations and within the Aboriginal population has not completed its course. While the Metis have been leading the way, other groups are quickly catching up. Further convergence is likely to exert a depressing effect on Aboriginal fertility. Second, there is a high inconsistency between the level and age patterns of fertility. Relatively high fertility rates among younger women suggest that there is ample scope for further declines in fertility. » (p. 192)