Modeling Propensity to Move after Job Change Using Event History Analysis and Temporal GIS

Modeling Propensity to Move after Job Change Using Event History Analysis and Temporal GIS

Modeling Propensity to Move after Job Change Using Event History Analysis and Temporal GIS

Modeling Propensity to Move after Job Change Using Event History Analysis and Temporal GISs

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Référence bibliographique [1020]

Vandersmissen, Marie-Hélène, Séguin, Anne-Marie, Thériault, Marius et Claramunt, Christophe. 2009. «Modeling Propensity to Move after Job Change Using Event History Analysis and Temporal GIS ». Journal of Geographical Systems, vol. 11, no 1, p. 37-65.

Fiche synthèse

1. Objectifs


Intentions :
«The research presented in this paper analyzes the emergent residential behaviors of individual actors in a context of profound social changes in the work sphere. [...] More precisely, the objective of this paper is to estimate the propensity for professional workers to move house after a change of workplace.» (p.37)

Questions/Hypothèses :
«How many will move house during the following job episode? How long will they delay that decision? What are the factors significantly influencing that house-moving decision? And is there a geographical structure in the decision to move house?» (p.38)

2. Méthode


Échantillon/Matériau :
418 professionnels de la région métropolitaine de Québec

Instruments :
Sondage

Type de traitement des données :
Analyse statistique

3. Résumé


«Our analysis draws on data from a biographical survey using a retrospective questionnaire that enables a posteriori reconstitution of the familial, professional, and residential lifelines of professional workers since their departure from their parents’ home. The survey was conducted in 1996 in the Quebec City Metropolitan Area, which, much like other Canadian cities, has experienced a substantial increase in ''unstable'' work, even for professionals. The approach is based on event history analysis, a Temporal Geographic Information System and exploratory spatial analysis of model’s residuals. Results indicate that 48.9% of respondents moved after a job change and that the most important factors influencing the propensity to move house after a job change are home tenure (for lone adults as for couple) and number of children (for couples only). [...] The outcome of this research contributes to furthering our understanding of a familial decision (to move) following a professional event (change of job), controlling for household structure, familial, professional, and spatial contexts.» (pp.37-38)