A Microsimulation Model to Study the Interaction between Fertility and Union Formation and Dissolution: An Application to Canada and Quebec
Référence bibliographique 
Bélanger, Alain, Morency, Jean-Dominique et Spielauer, Martin. 2010. «A Microsimulation Model to Study the Interaction between Fertility and Union Formation and Dissolution: An Application to Canada and Quebec ». Canadian Studies in Population, vol. 37, no 3-4, p. 339-373.
Intentions : «L’objectif de cet article est d’examiner le rôle que jouent les comportements matrimoniaux sur la fécondité en comparant différents indicateurs sur la fécondité et la vie conjugale qui ont été obtenus par microsimulation.» (p. 340)
Échantillon/Matériau : «The marital and fertility histories [have been] collected in two retrospective longitudinal surveys on family transitions: the Canadian General Social Survey (GSS) cycles 15 and 20 (Statistics Canada 2002 and 2007).» (p. 344) «Cycle 20 of the GSS interviewed 23,608 people living in one of the 10 Canadian provinces between June and October 2006 and cycle 15 collected information from 24,310 people in 2001.» (p. 344)
Instruments : Questionnaire
Type de traitement des données : Analyse statistique
«Union formation and dissolution are among the main determinants explaining variations in fertility. Compared to the rest of Canada, Quebec’s marital histories are more complex and its prevalence of common-law unions much higher. [...] Results show that the more complex marital histories of Quebecers can explain more than one-quarter of their fertility differences with the rest of the country.» (p. 339) «Results show that about one-quarter of the women from the cohorts born after 1955 remain childless, a proportion that is slightly larger in Quebec than in the rest of Canada. A significantly larger proportion of Quebecers also have only one child. In the context of an aging population, this might mean that the future availability of informal care to the elderly will be scarcer in Quebec, compared to the rest of Canada. [...] Another interesting result is the percentage of births taking place in couples either living in common-law unions or out of a union.» (p. 369)